PBL Climate Pledge NDC tool
The Paris Agreement aims to limit global mean temperature increase to well below 2 °C and pursue efforts to limit it to below 1.5 °C. To achieve this, 189 Parties have submitted Intended Nationally Determined Contributions, so-called INDCs, outlining their post-2020 climate action. On 4 November 2016, the Paris Agreement entered into force, after having been ratified by over 150 Parties; thus, turning their INDCs into NDCs. The PBL Climate Pledge NDC tool shows the targets in these NDCs/INDCs and the pledges made earlier for 2020. For 25 Parties, the tool compares these targets with greenhouse gas emission projections with and without current domestic climate policies up to 2030. The main findings are:
- Almost all of the 25 Parties analysed have climate policies in place that reduce emissions, but, for about 16 of these Parties, reductions fall short of those targeted in their NDCs. For some Parties, it is uncertain whether their NDCs will lead to a reduction in emissions relative to the business-as-usual scenario.
- The emission reductions resulting from the NDCs will be insufficient to put the world on a cost-effective pathway to secure a likely chance of keeping global temperature increase below 2 °C. Implementation of the unconditional and conditional NDCs would still leave an emission gap of 13 and 11 GtCO2e, respectively, to securing this likely chance.