Demography
PHOENIX is a tool to assess future changes (simulation period is 1950-2100) in the population size and structure in relation to the socio-economic conditions and state of the environment for 25 world regions of IMAGE 2.4.
Description of PHOENIX and relations with other modelsDescription of PHOENIXThe rapid decline of mortality especially during the past decades in the less-industrialized countries without a parallel decline in fertility has led to a historically unprecedented rapid increase in population. In order to provide reasonable assessments of future developments, we need insights into the interrelated processes determining fertility and morbidity/mortality levels. For this purpose, an integrated population and health model was developed as part of the TARGETS 1.0 simulation model (Hilderink et al., 1998). This population and health model was elaborated further, resulting in PHOENIX, as described in detail by Hilderink (2000). Relation with other modelsThe regional population simulations generated by PHOENIX are used in the Economy model, the Energy demand and supply model (TIMER) and the Terrestrial Environment System (TES). Many aspects of demography, such as life expectancy, age structure, and other facets such as urbanization and educational attainment, are included in the projections and presented on this CD-ROM.
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