B2 Scenario
This scenario is the least visualized and understood. Indeed, it is kind of a Mixed Green Bag, which was the first name it received in the SRES team. At regional and local levels, people increasingly perceive and seize the means to manage their own situation in an equitable and sustainable manner. In some regions this may take the form of decentralized settlements on the basis of bioregions; in others, society may opt for centralized but highly energy- and material-extensive infrastructure. Some regions may develop ways to maximize the sustainable use of their indigenous renewable resources; others may shift the focus to changing socio-political structures or find ways to turn consumption into less materialistic and more spiritually and psychologically rewarding activities. At global level, initiatives may be fairly ineffective for want of global institutions - a world of good intentions but no action.
B2 ScenarioIntroduction'The B2 storyline and scenario family describes a world in which the emphasis is on local solutions to economic, social, and environmental sustainability. It is a world with moderate population growth, intermediate levels of economic development, and less rapid and more diverse technological change than in the B1 and A1 storylines. While the scenario is also oriented toward environmental protection and social equity, it focuses on local and regional levels.' (IPCC, 2000). Key elements
Resulting characteristics and promises
Dominant motivesOrientation on quality-of-life in a narrow sense; Mother Earth; local cooperation and internal orientation; risk-aversion; and optimism with regard to human nature. |
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