About the Nature Outlook

Everyone has a different story about why nature is important to them. These different motivations lead to different desired futures for nature. For the EU, these differences may be an inspiration for a variety of potential strategies to reach its long-term vision for biodiversity and ecosystem services by 2050. Connecting to the different motivations may help to increase the engagement of citizens and businesses and to bridge the gap with other sectors, such as agriculture and energy.

This challenge is the starting point for the Nature Outlook. The study is being conducted at the request of the Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs.

Result: Four perspectives on the future of nature in Europe

For the Nature Outlook, we will develop a multi-perspective approach on nature and biodiversity in the EU in 2050. We will elaborate four perspectives, each exploring a desired future state of nature and possible pathways to get there, including new coalitions and governance modes. The perspectives will be based on the different ways in which people value nature.

The power of perspectives

  • Making the future tangible
  • Broadening the thinking about the future by working with perspectives that are truly distinctive
  • Raising awareness among stakeholders about the different ways in which nature is valued, creating different futures
  • Exploring perspectives that have received little attention so far

Objective: To provide inspiration for the strategic debate on nature

The Nature Outlook aims to provide inspiration for strategic discussions on EU policies beyond 2020 that are related to nature and biodiversity. This includes sectoral policies, such as the Common Agricultural Policy. The results can be used by the European Commission – specifically DG Environment –, nature ministers from the Member States and the European Parliament, but also by other stakeholders.

Approach: To involve stakeholders and use models

The Outlook should truly cover the various visions on nature from people all over Europe. Important activities, therefore, include a European-wide survey on citizens’ visions on nature and a series of stakeholder dialogues to co-create the perspectives.

To quantify the state of biodiversity and ecosystem services under each of the perspectives, we will use scientific simulation models.