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The river basin delta tool

About this site

This website is Commissioned by Henk Ovink, Special Envoy for International Water Affairs and PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.

For questions and comments, contact us via info@pbl.nl or @nlenvironagency.

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Contact PBL


PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency

  • Willem Ligtvoet
  • Arno Bouwman
  • Jan de Ruiter
  • Jan Janse
  • Peter van Puijenbroek
  • Arthur Beusen
  • Lotte van Dam
  • Jonathan Doelman
  • Allard Warrink
  • Filip du Blois
  • Marian Abels

In collaboration with:


Blueland Consultancy

  • Wilfried ten Brinke

Utrecht University

  • Rens van Beek
  • Frances Dunn
  • Jaap Nienhuis
  • Hans van Middelkoop

Deltares

  • Frederiek Sperna Weiland

VU Amsterdam; Institute for Environmental Studies

  • Timothy Tiggeloven
  • Eric Mortensen
  • Philip Ward

Wageningen Environmental Research

  • Hester Biemans

University of Illinois

  • Jim Best

World Wide Fund for Nature

  • Marc Goichot
  • Dean Muruven

English-language editing

  • Annemieke Righart, PBL Publishers

Design

  • Schwandt Information Design

Rhine example

  • Laura Poinsot (ICPR)
  • Adrian Schmid-Breton (ICPR)
  • Nikola Schulte-Kellinghaus (ICPR)

Mekong example

  • Marcel Marchand (Deltares)

Mississippi example

  • Guillermo Mendoza (USACE)
  • Andy Gaines (USACE)
  • Hans Pietersen (Rijkswaterstaat)

Web development

  • Leukeleu

The scientific base: Data and references


  • Abel et al. (2019). Climate, conflict and forced migration. Global Environmental Change 54: 239–249.
  • Aggarwal et al. (2019). How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century? Environmental Research Letters 14, 043001.
  • Alfieri et al. (2017). Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world. Earth’s Future 5: 171–182.
  • Aggarwal et al. (2019). How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century? Environmental Research Letters 14, 043001.
  • Best (2019). Anthropogenic stresses on the world’s big rivers. Nature Geoscience 12: 7–21.
  • Blöschl et al. (2017). Changing climate shifts timing of European floods. Science 357: 588–590.
  • Bouwer and Jonkman (2018). Global mortality from storm surges is decreasing. Environmental Research Letters 13, 014008.
  • Donnelly et al. (2017). Impacts of climate change on European hydrology at 1.5, 2 and 3 degrees mean global warming above preindustrial level. Climatic Change 143: 13–26.
  • Dottori et al. (2018). Increased human and economic losses from river flooding with anthropogenic warming. Nature Climate Change 8: 781–786.
  • Ebi et al. (2018). Health risks of warming of 1.5°C, 2 °C, and higher, above pre-industrial temperatures. Environmental Research Letters 13,063007.
  • Eisner et al. (2017). An ensemble analysis of climate change impacts on streamflow seasonality across 11 large river basins. Climatic Change 141: 401–417.
  • Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (2016). The making of a riskier future: How our decisions are shaping future disaster risk.
  • Gosling and Arnell (2016). A global assessment of the impact of climate change on water scarcity. Climatic Change 134: 371–385.
  • Grill et al. (2019). Mapping the world’s free-flowing rivers, Nature volume 569: 215–221.Grill et al. (2019). Mapping the world’s free-flowing rivers, Nature volume 569: 215–221.
  • Hiatt, R.A. en N. Beyeler, 2020. Cancer and climate change. The Lancet Oncology 21 (11): 519-527.
  • Iizumi et al. (2018). Crop production losses associated with anthropogenic climate change for 1981–2010 compared with preindustrial levels. International Journal of Climatology 38: 5405–5417.
  • IPCC (2012). Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York (NY).
  • IPCC (2018): Summary for Policymakers. In: Global Warming of 1.5 °C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty.
  • IPCC (2020): Figure 3.20 from Hoegh-Guldberg, O., D. Jacob, M. Taylor, M. Bindi, S. Brown, I. Camilloni, A. Diedhiou, R. Djalante, K.L. Ebi, F. Engelbrecht, J. Guiot, Y. Hijioka, S. Mehrotra, A. Payne, S.I. Seneviratne, A. Thomas, R. Warren, and G. Zhou, 2018: Impacts of 1.5ºC Global Warming on Natural and Human Systems. In:Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty[Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, H.-O. Pörtner, D. Roberts, J. Skea, P.R. Shukla, A. Pirani, W. Moufouma-Okia, C. Péan, R. Pidcock, S. Connors, J.B.R. Matthews, Y. Chen, X. Zhou, M.I. Gomis, E. Lonnoy, T. Maycock, M. Tignor, and T. Waterfield (eds.)]. In Press.
  • Jenicek et al. (2018). Modeling of future changes in seasonal snowpack and impacts on summer Low flows in Alpine catchments. Water Resources Research 54: 538–556.
  • Kallis and Zografos (2014). Hydro-climatic change, conflict and security. Climatic Change 123: 69–82.
  • Loucks (2019). Developed river deltas: are they sustainable? Environmental Research Letters 14, 113004.
  • Nerini et al. (2019). Connecting climate action with other Sustainable Development Goals. Nature Sustainability 2: 674–680.Nerini et al. (2019). Connecting climate action with other Sustainable Development Goals. Nature Sustainability 2: 674–680.
  • Pecl et al. (2017). Biodiversity redistribution under climate change: Impacts on ecosystems and human well-being. Science 355, eaai9214.
  • Salehyan and Hendrix (2014). Climate shocks and political violence. Global Environmental Change 28: 239–250.
  • Scheffers et al. (2016). The broad footprint of climate change from genes to biomes to people. Science 354 (6313): 719–730.
  • Stanzel and Kling (2018). From ENSEMBLES to CORDEX: Evolving climate change projections for Upper Danube River flow. Journal of Hydrology 563: 987–999.
  • Thober et al. (2018). Multi-model ensemble projections of European river floods and high flows at 1.5, 2, and 3 degrees global warming. Environmental Research Letters 13, 14003.
  • Tiggeloven et al. (2020). Global-scale benefit–cost analysis of coastal flood adaptation to different flood risk drivers using structural measures. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 20: 1025–1044.
  • Tschumi, E. and J. Zscheischler, 2020. Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters. Climatic Change 158: 593-609.
  • UN DESA (2018). 2018 revision of world urbanization prospects. Report of the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs.
  • United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2018). World Urbanisation Prospects: The 2018 Revision, Online Edition.
  • Water as Leverage – https://waterasleverage.org/
  • Watts (2019). The 2019 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: ensuring that the health of a child born today is not defined by a changing climate. Lancet 394: 1836–1878.
  • WEF (2020). Global risk report 2020.
  • World Bank (2016). High and Dry: Climate change, water, and the economy.